Estimated NTRP for NorCal league players · updated nightly
Your estimated NTRP, updated every night.
MatchMetric is an estimated NTRP rating for USTA NorCal league players, built from league scores. It is not an official USTA rating. See where your game is now, what moved your rating, and how close you are to a bump. Captains can scout the next opponent and compare lineups before match day.
Every USTA NorCal league player is already here — no account needed to look yourself up.
Once a result reaches TennisLink, it counts here that night. You can see what each match did to your rating, instead of waiting and wondering until year-end.
The score matters
A 6–4, 6–4 win counts for more than a pair of tiebreaks. In doubles, each partner's rating matters too.
Know what to trust
A player with two matches shouldn't look as certain as one with twenty. Every rating shows how much evidence sits behind it.
Seen a different number?
Why your rating might not match another site
MatchMetric, TennisRecord, and other rating sites all estimate the same thing: playing strength on the NTRP scale. The numbers won’t always match to the decimal.
We use the score and the margin, update every night, and account for each doubles partner separately. We also show confidence, so two matches don’t carry the same certainty as twenty.
A result that reaches TennisLink counts here that night. If another site hasn't picked up your latest match yet, that alone can explain the gap.
We check the estimate against USTA’s official year-end ratings and against what happened in real matches.
The charts below show both checks. You can judge the results for yourself.
Co-Captain keeps the week in one place: who can play, what the other team may bring, and which of your lineups gives you the best chance. You walk into match day with a plan, not a guess.
Lineups
Mark who's available and compare legal lineups by win probability.
Opponent scouting
See who they usually play at each line and their projected lineup.
Availability + practice
Replace the group-chat roll call, then build practice rounds around your roster.
Dots show what USTA did. The line shows the overall trend used for bump estimates.
The farther a player rates above their level, the more often USTA moved them up at year end.
Flag a player as over their level and they’re 4.5× more likely to be bumped up than everyone else.
Across 4,940 players with 10+ matches in 2025, vs USTA’s official year-end ratings.
Match predictions
Dots show actual results. The line shows the overall trend behind our win probabilities.
A player with a half-point rating edge wins 90% of the time. An even matchup lands at 50%.
Across 307,034 rated matches since 2025.
NorCal snapshot
Where NorCal sits
Published NTRP across NorCal — league play is thickest in the middle of the curve.
38,166 players rated
1,256
2.5
4,674
3.0
6,523
3.5
4,916
4.0
2,076
4.5
497
5.0
23
5.5
Performance ratings
Where ratings land
Performance ratings for 22,518 players, from the middle of the field to the top 1%.
3.30
Median
4.12
Top 10%
4.76
Top 1%
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
P50
P90
P99
2.5s · med 2.28 · top 10% ≥ 2.593.0s · med 2.76 · top 10% ≥ 3.073.5s · med 3.25 · top 10% ≥ 3.514.0s · med 3.72 · top 10% ≥ 3.964.5s · med 4.20 · top 10% ≥ 4.435.0s · med 4.71 · top 10% ≥ 4.935.5s · med 5.12 · top 10% ≥ 5.31